An economist’s thoughts on immigration

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Voters are often misled about immigration

Politicians like Donald Trump and Nigel Farage have tried to paint a bad picture of immigration

  • their main arguments stem from the economic model of supply and demand

  • immigrants are attracted to the excess profits produced by richer, first-world countries like the USA, the UK, Germany etc

  • immigrants will therefore move to those countries in uncontrollable droves

  • this leads to an over-supply of cheap labour - this increases unemployment rates and pushes wages down in labour markets


This argument doesn’t always hold

Just like you, immigrants aren’t always attracted to move to a totally new country because of money

  • there are other factors to consider when moving such as:

    • family ties

    • being compatible with the country’s culture

    • fear of the unknown

    • being able to speak the language

A good example of this is Greece - they are part of the EU and have been for decades

  • their economy hit rock bottom in 2013

  • Greek citizens could have easily moved to other countries within the EU, as there were no barrier to entry

  • however, only about 3% of the population (350,000 people) ended up relocating

Studies have even shown that people are generally unwilling to move even within the same country

  • one of these studies is about Indians living rurally in the regions of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh

  • citizens of these rural areas can double their incomes if they moved to a city

  • however, only a small percentage of the 100 million poor people in these areas actually decide to relocate


Money, alone, is not really a good enough motivator for human beings. There are many more factors to consider. This model is overly simplistic and doesn’t take into account the variables involved in the human experience.



Immigration can help boost the economy and provides new opportunities for the country


Immigrants bring greater demand as well as supply

  • if you lived in a town which had suddenly increased in population, you might think these people would directly compete for your job

  • but you’d also find that the shops and businesses in the local area became far busier

  • small business like restaurants and cafes would probably benefit greatly - this would increase demand for lower-skilled workers

Immigrants add to the economy’s productive potential

  • immigrants start new businesses

  • this means more inputs are used to make outputs - this increases GDP

  • the increase in output will need more labour inputs - this means businesses will employ more people

  • a perusal of top Fortune 500 companies in 2017 showed that 43 percent of America’s highest-earning companies were founded by immigrants or their descendants

    • Steve Jobs’ biological father came from Syria

    • Henry Ford was also of Irish descent

Immigrants often don’t compete with native workers’ jobs

  • they usually have different skill sets and education levels

  • therefore, they don’t have as big an impact on native workers’ sector of the economy

Employers care about the value they get from their employees

  • employees are paid a wage, but in return they offer their labour hours

  • employees which are more productive get paid more - employers care about the efficiency of labour, not just the wage rate

  • this is why high-performing mangers/directors get paid huge salaries and big bonuses when they hit targets

Employers want to reduce their costs of hiring people, so they work to find the right person for the job

  • hiring people costs money e.g. putting up a job advert, training workers, paying pension contributions etc

  • therefore, employers would rather the right person the first time around (that’s why interview processes are sometimes so vigorous)

  • locals often have skills that recent arrivals don’t have, like speaking the language fluently

  • a Danish study showed that in areas with a higher percentage of immigrants, Danish workers were more likely to leave manual labour for more skilled jobs

Immigrants tend to get jobs that the natives are unwilling to do

  • e.g. cleaning, mowing lawns or childcare services

  • these labour markets might see depressed wages, which can upset those labour markets

  • however, cheaper childcare services might mean you’re better able to afford it if you get a higher-paid, skilled job


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